← Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
Water NeosTier 2
at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
24.4%
avg ELO -19.1 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
38.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1425
· median 1425
· range 1425–1425
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1278
Q1 1308
Q3 1475
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.3% | -23.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.8% | -21.2 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
