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Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.4%
avg ELO +5.4 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1299
· median 1299
· range 1299–1299
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1278
Q1 1308
Q3 1475
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
| Water Neos | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.7% | +23.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
