Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at HIDEOUT'S RDO STORE CHAMPS
decks
1
(3.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.9%
avg ELO -7.1 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1590
· median 1590
· range 1590–1590
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1113
Q1 1252
Q3 1418
1633
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 19.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.4% | -26.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | -20.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
