← Grand Archive Singapore Regionals
Water Umbra DianaTier 2
at Grand Archive Singapore Regionals
decks
2
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
5-7-1
overall winrate
42.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1189
· median 1189
· range 1145–1232
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1041
Q1 1165
Q3 1337
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +2.1 |
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -12.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane Rai | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Umbra Diana decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
