EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印三民店 Store Champion.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 58.3% | 51.3% | 56.3% | 53.3% | 1352 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Razorgale | 4 | 16.7% | 16 | 53.1% | 52.2% | 54.8% | 53.4% | 1258 | — |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 64.3% | 59.8% | 54.3% | 54.0% | 1255 | — |
| 4 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 57.5% | 53.8% | 52.8% | 1282 | — |
| 5 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 4.2% | 8 | 75.0% | 52.9% | 52.9% | 48.3% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 40.7% | 51.7% | 48.7% | 1300 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 4 | 16.7% | 15 | 56.7% | 61.2% | 49.2% | 52.1% | 1227 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 45.0% | 53.0% | 48.8% | 51.5% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 64.3% | 54.0% | 48.7% | 47.2% | 1523 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 3 | 12.5% | 14 | 53.6% | 47.6% | 48.3% | 46.0% | 1284 | — |
| 11 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 36.5% | 46.0% | 44.4% | 1307 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Exia | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 40.0% | 55.1% | 45.3% | 49.7% | 1131 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 0.0% | 27.3% | 40.0% | 41.9% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Exalted Alice | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 26.1% | 37.0% | 37.5% | 1139 | ↓ low |