← 三咖啡店冠賽

Water GenbuTier 1

at 三咖啡店冠賽

decks
2 (8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 5-3-1
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.1% avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
52.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1331 · median 1331 · range 1309–1353 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023 Q1 1214 Q3 1431 1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Oblation 17.4% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.1% -0.8
Water Fractal 17.4% 0
Fire Aggro 4.3% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.3% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.3% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 4.3% 0
Fire Suzaku 4.3% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 35.2% -14.2
Water Aetherwing 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.4% +11.9
Water Exalted Mordred 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.4% +3.9
Water Luxem Assassin 4.3% 0
Water Whirlpool Mill 4.3% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.2% +19.5
Wind Luxem Assassin 4.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.9% +12.6
Wind Seiryuu 4.3% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.1% -4.6
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Water Genbu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/52375/archetypes/Water Genbu