三咖啡店冠賽

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	4	17.4%	9-10-1	47.5%	46.2%	53.1%	51.7%	1335	—
2		Water Fractal	Tier 2	4	17.4%	5-8-1	39.3%	37.9%	41.8%	42.1%	1349	—
3		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	8.7%	5-3-1	61.1%	53.1%	52.2%	50.9%	1331	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	4.3%	3-1-1	70.0%	57.7%	56.2%	53.3%	1405	↑ top
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	4.3%	3-1-1	70.0%	57.1%	59.5%	56.8%	1416	↑ top
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	4.3%	0-5-0	0.0%	36.1%	37.3%	44.3%	1179	↓ low
7		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 1	1	4.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	37.9%	50.0%	44.5%	1419	↑ top
8		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	1	4.3%	4-1-1	75.0%	74.3%	57.4%	60.7%	1217	↓ low
9		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	4.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	47.0%	52.0%	49.8%	1317	—
10		Water Exalted Mordred	Tier 2	1	4.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	53.8%	42.5%	48.8%	1023	↓ low
11		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	4.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	59.6%	50.9%	53.9%	1307	—
12		Water Whirlpool Mill	Tier 1	1	4.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	52.3%	50.0%	50.9%	1309	—
13		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	4.3%	2-4-0	33.3%	35.6%	51.9%	49.7%	1427	↑ top
14		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	4.3%	3-0-2	80.0%	62.2%	53.8%	53.0%	1441	↑ top
15		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	4.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	39.6%	45.0%	50.2%	1185	↓ low
16		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	4.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	61.4%	49.1%	55.6%	1303	—
17		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	1	4.3%	4-0-2	83.3%	52.8%	56.2%	50.9%	1543	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Oblation 4 decks · 17.4%
• Water Fractal 4 decks · 17.4%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 8.7%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 4.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 4.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 4.3%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 4.3%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 4.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 4.3%
• Water Exalted Mordred 1 deck · 4.3%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 4.3%
• Water Whirlpool Mill 1 deck · 4.3%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 4.3%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 4.3%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 4.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 4.3%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 4.3%