Water Luxem AssassinTier 1
at 三咖啡店冠賽
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.6%
avg ELO +5.5 per match
expected value
50.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1307
· median 1307
· range 1307–1307
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1214
Q3 1431
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 17.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.0% | +22.4 |
| Water Fractal | 17.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Water Genbu | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
