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Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Home-run RDO Store Championships
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
7-10-0
overall winrate
41.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1330
· median 1390
· range 1085–1516
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1222
Q3 1392
1546
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.9% | -1.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Water Chess | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
