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Wind SeiryuuTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.4% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +3.0 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 48.7% | -0.9 |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 48.9% | -0.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Imperial Countermeasure | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Psychopomp's Gale | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Auspicious Manifestation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Topsy Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseeched Fatestone | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Royal Oathguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Heaven | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Benediction Angel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |