Fire OblationTier 1
at Inferno Store Champ 100526
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 4 | 2-0-2 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 55.8% | +3.7 |
| Water Exia | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.8 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 29.5% | -19.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.8% | -6.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Oblation decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reduce to Ash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Angelic Channeling | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Undeniable Truth | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Overlapping Visages | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Flamewreath Call | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Advent of the Stormcaller | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ionized Asceticism | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Feu Awakening | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamme Sorcel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rictus Tiding | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |