← Inferno Store Champ 100526

Wind RazorgaleTier 2

at Inferno Store Champ 100526

decks
2 (10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
28.8% avg ELO -10.7 per match
expected value
47.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1385 · median 1385 · range 1346–1423 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1110 Q1 1195 Q3 1389 1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Oblation 25.0% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 55.5% +4.1
Water Aetherwing 10.0% 0
Water Exia 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 35.9% -22.6
Water Whirlpool Mill 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 35.9% -22.6
Fire Aggro 5.0% 0
Fire Slimes 5.0% 0
Fire Suzaku 5.0% 0
Water Genbu 5.0% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 5.0% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.7% -21.3
Wind Shadowstrike 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.2% -20.5
Wind Umbra Alice 5.0% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 5.0% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Calming Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Fire Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Rictus Tiding +1.00 1 0 0
Kongming, Wayward Maven +1.00 1 0 0
Obscured Offering -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Speed Potion -1.00 0 1 0
Sasha, Purifying Acolyte -1.00 0 1 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Ardent Cloudstriker +1.00 1 0 0
Ventus, Staff of Zephyrs +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Distilled Water -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Unbroken Mustang +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land -1.00 0 1 0
Essence Crucible -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Fan of Seven Debts +1.00 1 0 0
Tempest Downfall +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep -1.00 0 1 0
Arisanna, Herbalist Prodigy -1.00 0 1 0
Tend the Land -1.00 0 1 0
Bagua of Cardinal Fate +1.00 1 0 0
Floral Arrangement -1.00 0 1 0
Ingredient Pouch -1.00 0 1 0
Break Apart -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/53310/archetypes/Wind Razorgale