← Regional Event - The Banish Zone
SlimesTier 2
at Regional Event - The Banish Zone
decks
12
(23.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
48
20-21-7
overall winrate
49.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.1%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
49.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1268
· median 1242
· range 1108–1516
(12 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1201
Q3 1329
1656
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 8 | 3-2-3 | 56.2% | 54.2% | 51.4% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.8% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 47.9% | -1.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 47.5% | -1.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 7 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 58.5% | +4.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 3.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.8% | +4.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.3% | +4.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.1 |
| Wind Allies | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Wind Neos | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.9% | +15.3 |
Decklists · 12 from this event
The 12 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 8 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Ordinary Bear, Reprogram, Stonescale Band. Losers more often ran: Slime's Blessing, Bestial Frenzy, Slime Eruption.
Ordinary Bear
Winning decks ran 2.6
copies on average,
losing decks 2.0.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
5, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 1.
Reprogram
Winning decks ran 2.9
copies on average,
losing decks 1.9.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
5, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 1.
Stonescale Band
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.6.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 5.
Backup Charger
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Winning decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
losing decks 1.1.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 2.
Beastbond Ears
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 8 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.9.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 1.
Bestial Frenzy
Losing decks ran 1.1
copies on average,
winning decks 0.5.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Slime Eruption
Losing decks ran 2.4
copies on average,
winning decks 1.8.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Verdant Slime
Losing decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
winning decks 1.1.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 2.
Vampiric Slime
Losing decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Tariff Ring
Losing decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.1.
Of 8 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary Bear | +0.38 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.38 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.38 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
| Reprogram | +0.38 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.38 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Ethereal Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.25 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.25 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.25 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Verdant Slime | -0.25 | 2 | 4 | 2 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.25 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| Vampiric Slime | -0.25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -0.25 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Slime Nexus | -0.25 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Slime King | -0.12 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Gaia's Blessing | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -0.12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | -0.12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | -0.12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | -0.12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Young Beastbonder | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meadowbloom Dryad | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Command the Hunt | +0.12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | -0.12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
| Covenant of Thorns | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Baby Red Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Blue Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Melodious Flute | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purification | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |