Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at Grand Archive
decks
3
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
9-7-3
overall winrate
55.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
49.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1298
· median 1274
· range 1230–1391
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1152
Q3 1336
1689
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 34.3% | -11.7 |
| Wind Allies | 15.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.6% | +4.9 |
| Slimes | 11.4% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -3.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Water Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.4 |
| Wind Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
