Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at Grand Archive
decks
2
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
3-9-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.8%
avg ELO -6.9 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1213
· median 1213
· range 1204–1223
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1152
Q3 1336
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Wind Allies | 15.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.4% | -4.2 |
| Slimes | 11.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
