Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Grand Archive
decks
1
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.6%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1307
· median 1307
· range 1307–1307
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1152
Q3 1336
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Wind Allies | 15.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 11.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
