← Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 4 | 21.1% | 16 | 62.5% | 57.4% | 53.6% | 52.6% | 1375 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 10.5% | 8 | 56.2% | 54.4% | 51.2% | 51.5% | 1282 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 15.8% | 14 | 53.6% | 48.1% | 50.5% | 48.6% | 1434 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.1% | 50.3% | 50.2% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 55.5% | 50.0% | 52.0% | 1278 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 3 | 15.8% | 15 | 46.7% | 49.1% | 49.4% | 50.2% | 1289 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.5% | 8 | 37.5% | 43.2% | 47.9% | 49.1% | 1332 | — |
| 8 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 10.5% | 10 | 45.0% | 47.9% | 46.3% | 47.5% | 1369 | — |
| 9 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 30.8% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1578 | ↑ top |