← Game Nut Mercurial Heart Store Champ
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Game Nut Mercurial Heart Store Champ.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 3 | 12.5% | 15 | 60.0% | 62.1% | 55.4% | 56.2% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Wind Diana | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.8% | 55.0% | 51.7% | 1447 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Neos | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 59.5% | 54.7% | 56.2% | 1202 | — |
| 4 | Wind Silvie | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.8% | 53.6% | 51.5% | 1454 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 48.5% | 53.3% | 55.4% | 1202 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.0% | 53.0% | 53.0% | 1145 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 8.3% | 12 | 62.5% | 60.5% | 52.8% | 53.4% | 1312 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Allies | 2 | 8.3% | 8 | 68.8% | 58.8% | 52.7% | 51.3% | 1267 | — |
| 9 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 54.0% | 51.2% | 48.9% | 1253 | — |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 8.3% | 11 | 54.5% | 52.9% | 50.9% | 50.6% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 37.6% | 48.1% | 45.0% | 1225 | — |
| 12 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 8.3% | 7 | 28.6% | 38.1% | 45.4% | 45.9% | 1152 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Slimes | 5 | 20.8% | 16 | 31.2% | 36.7% | 44.3% | 44.6% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Neos | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 27.6% | 40.0% | 40.3% | 1143 | ↓ low |