← Grand Archive Store Championships at High Market Online <3
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Championships at High Market Online <3.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 70.0% | 47.9% | 57.4% | 51.3% | 1630 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 5 | 21.7% | 17 | 64.7% | 60.0% | 56.7% | 55.5% | 1442 | — |
| 3 | Slimes | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 70.0% | 55.9% | 55.8% | 53.3% | 1362 | — |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 8.7% | 8 | 43.8% | 45.1% | 49.5% | 49.1% | 1380 | — |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 13.0% | 15 | 56.7% | 64.4% | 49.4% | 53.0% | 1389 | — |
| 6 | Wind Overlord | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 55.6% | 47.8% | 50.5% | 1351 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 8.7% | 9 | 50.0% | 49.2% | 47.6% | 47.5% | 1382 | — |
| 8 | Wind Allies | 3 | 13.0% | 15 | 46.7% | 39.1% | 46.3% | 43.9% | 1431 | — |
| 9 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 8.7% | 8 | 37.5% | 43.6% | 43.8% | 45.1% | 1319 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.4% | 41.7% | 46.1% | 1355 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 12.5% | 41.4% | 40.7% | 45.9% | 1348 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.3% | 40.7% | 42.2% | 1333 | ↓ low |