Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at LGS ALC Regional
decks
3
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
7-6-1
overall winrate
53.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1304
· median 1349
· range 1138–1425
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1179
Q3 1427
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 22.2% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 59.7% | +5.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +3.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 11.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.3% | +6.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.3 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
