Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at MRC Store Championship!
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1226
· median 1226
· range 1226–1226
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1211
Q3 1402
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.0% | +13.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -18.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
