Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
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Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +4.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.7% | +7.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.1% | +12.0 |
| Slimes | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Reclaim, Gloamspire Mantle, Sable Remnant. Losers more often ran: Reprogram, Ensnaring Fumes, Blackmarket Broker.
Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reprogram | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Imperial Spy | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Sable Remnant | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadow Resonance | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sharpen Blade | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Final Stroke | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |