Fire Crux MageTier 1
at MRC Store Championship!
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.3%
avg ELO +4.2 per match
expected value
53.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1404
· median 1404
· range 1404–1404
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1211
Q3 1402
1558
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Slimes | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.3 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
