Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at MRC Store Championship!
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +2.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vermilion Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excoriate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Automaton Bomber | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Demon's Aim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| False Step | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lone Gunslinger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flash Grenade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Sniper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbral Tithe | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blastshot Pump | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deploy Gunshield | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Shot | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |