← Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout
decks
6
(9.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
7-7-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
49.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1295
· median 1318
· range 1179–1373
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1224
Q3 1423
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Water Neos | 9.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Water Allies | 6.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Wind Allies | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.3% | -0.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Neos | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.5 |
| Water Beast | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
