← Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout
Water NeosTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout
decks
6
(9.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
11-10-0
overall winrate
52.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1425
· median 1423
· range 1136–1637
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1224
Q3 1423
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.4% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 47.9% | -1.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Allies | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.7% | +1.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Wind Neos | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.9% | -1.0 |
| Fire Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Water Beast | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
