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SlimesTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.5 |
| Water Neos | 9.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 52.1% | +1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.5% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 49.6% | -0.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Allies | 6.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 49.1% | -0.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Wind Neos | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Ethereal Slime, Beastbond Paws, Lustrous Slime. Losers more often ran: Slime's Blessing, Bestial Frenzy, Escape the Wreckage.
Show all 38 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slime King | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Green Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Limitless Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdant Scepter | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Verdant Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Engineered Slime | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Academy Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |