← Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout
Water BeastTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout
decks
1
(1.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.5%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1470
· median 1470
· range 1470–1470
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1224
Q3 1423
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 9.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Beast decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
