← 7/13 MRC店冠賽 MRC Store Championship
Fire LorraineTier 2
at 7/13 MRC店冠賽 MRC Store Championship
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.1%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
43.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1176
· median 1176
· range 1176–1176
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1097
Q1 1246
Q3 1422
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Slimes | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.8% | +6.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 15.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
