← 7/13 MRC店冠賽 MRC Store Championship

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at 7/13 MRC店冠賽 MRC Store Championship

decks
5 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18 8-4-6
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.7% avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
52.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1425 · median 1435 · range 1127–1694 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1097 Q1 1246 Q3 1422 1694
60% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 20% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 20.0% 4 1-1-2 50.0% 50.0% 53.0% +1.9
Water Ravishing Mill 15.0% 6 3-2-1 58.3% 55.0% 57.9% +4.2
Wind Slimes 10.0% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 49.1% -0.9
Fire Aggro 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.8
Fire Crux Mage 5.0% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 64.0% +10.4
Fire Lorraine 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.7% +13.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.6% +4.1
Water Neos 5.0% 0
Wind Allies 5.0% 0
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Zephyr. Losers more often ran: Resolute Stand, Poisoned Dagger, Cleansing Reunion.

Played more by winners
Zephyr
Winning decks ran 1.3 copies on average, losing decks 1.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Played more by losers
Resolute Stand
Losing decks ran 3.0 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.
Poisoned Dagger
Losing decks ran 1.0 copy on average, winning decks 0.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.
Cleansing Reunion
Losing decks ran 1.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 3 0
Poisoned Dagger -1.00 0 3 0
Veiling Breeze -0.67 0 2 1
Sable Remnant -0.67 0 2 1
Eternal Magistrate +0.67 2 0 1
Turbo Charge -0.67 0 2 1
Reprogram +0.67 2 0 1
Fairy Whispers +0.67 2 0 1
Sadi, Blood Harvester +0.67 2 0 1
Tariff Ring +0.67 2 0 1
Mastermind Scheme +0.67 2 0 1
Diablerie +0.67 2 0 0
Dusklight Communion +0.67 2 0 0
Scout the Land +0.67 2 0 0
Gearstride Gloves -0.67 0 2 0
Shadow Resonance +0.67 2 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble +0.67 2 0 0
Arrow Trap -0.67 0 2 0
Blackmarket Broker -0.67 0 2 0
Cleansing Reunion -0.33 1 2 0
Shimmercloak Assassin +0.33 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +0.33 1 0 0
Assassin's Ripper +0.33 1 0 2
Zephyr +0.33 2 1 0
Dream Fairy -0.33 0 1 2
Innervate Agility -0.33 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/6175/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike