← 7/13 MRC店冠賽 MRC Store Championship
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at 7/13 MRC店冠賽 MRC Store Championship
decks
3
(15.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
4-5-3
overall winrate
45.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
47.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1303
· median 1284
· range 1269–1357
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1097
Q1 1246
Q3 1422
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 42.1% | -4.2 |
| Slimes | 20.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Wind Slimes | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.2 |
| Water Neos | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
