Mercurial Heart Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	3	37.5%	1-4-0	20.0%	32.6%	41.7%	40.2%	1250	↓ low
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	37.5%	4-1-0	80.0%	64.6%	58.3%	58.8%	1401	↑ top
3		Water Zander	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.1%	48.6%	50.1%	1275	—
4		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	57.4%	51.4%	52.1%	1294	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 37.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 37.5%
• Water Zander 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 12.5%