← Forest City Coins Store Champs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Forest City Coins Store Champs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 83.3% | 58.4% | 59.0% | 55.2% | 1549 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 23.1% | 10 | 65.0% | 58.9% | 55.2% | 54.3% | 1346 | — |
| 3 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 70.0% | 59.4% | 55.0% | 54.1% | 1333 | — |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 15.4% | 6 | 50.0% | 47.1% | 51.0% | 49.7% | 1329 | — |
| 5 | Norm Tera Silvie | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 57.1% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Slimes | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 52.7% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Neos | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 40.0% | 54.8% | 48.6% | 52.7% | 1073 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 16.7% | 31.3% | 42.0% | 40.1% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 16.7% | 38.5% | 41.1% | 43.6% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Allies | 2 | 15.4% | 5 | 10.0% | 33.4% | 40.5% | 42.4% | 1256 | — |