← LUCKY VAULT STORE CHAMPS! 7/13/24
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at LUCKY VAULT STORE CHAMPS! 7/13/24.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 83.3% | 72.7% | 60.3% | 61.4% | 1465 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 54.5% | 55.0% | 53.8% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 58.3% | 50.4% | 54.0% | 52.4% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 56.4% | 53.3% | 53.6% | 1561 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 25.0% | 7 | 21.4% | 31.5% | 43.0% | 42.9% | 1500 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 35.8% | 42.5% | 42.7% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 25.0% | 47.2% | 41.7% | 47.2% | 1393 | ↑ top |