← Mercurial Heart Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Mercurial Heart Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 11.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.2% | -2.9 |
| Wind Neos | 11.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.5% | +17.8 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.5% | +14.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Neos | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Slice and Dice, Zephyr, Viridian Protective Trinket. Losers more often ran: Sadi, Blood Harvester, Incapacitate.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slice and Dice | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Shadow's Claw | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Malignant Athame | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Sharpen Blade | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Mercenary's Blade | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reprogram | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poised Strike | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sirocco Operative | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |