Mercurial Heart Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	5	29.4%	8-3-3	67.9%	64.1%	55.7%	56.2%	1246	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	11.8%	5-3-0	62.5%	53.0%	53.2%	50.9%	1374	↑ top
3		Wind Neos	Tier 2	2	11.8%	4-4-0	50.0%	44.3%	45.6%	43.8%	1288	—
4		Dawn of Ashes	Tier 2	1	5.9%	1-3-1	30.0%	39.3%	45.0%	45.5%	1114	↓ low
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	5.9%	3-3-0	50.0%	50.7%	43.0%	43.6%	1292	—
6		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	5.9%	4-2-0	66.7%	60.1%	47.3%	47.8%	1517	↑ top
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	5.9%	3-0-2	80.0%	67.0%	54.4%	55.7%	1250	—
8		Neos	Tier 2	1	5.9%	1-3-1	30.0%	39.3%	45.0%	45.5%	1114	↓ low
9		Slimes	Tier 1	1	5.9%	4-0-1	90.0%	72.1%	59.2%	59.1%	1339	↑ top
10		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	5.9%	0-4-2	16.7%	35.2%	42.0%	44.0%	1060	↓ low
11		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	5.9%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.5%	41.7%	44.8%	1235	—
12		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	5.9%	0-6-0	0.0%	21.8%	40.0%	40.2%	1313	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 29.4%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 11.8%
• Wind Neos 2 decks · 11.8%
• Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 5.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 5.9%
• Neos 1 deck · 5.9%
• Slimes 1 deck · 5.9%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 5.9%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 5.9%