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Wind BeastTier 2
at Aria's Cardshop MRC Regionals (ONLINE)
decks
1
(2.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.1%
avg ELO -2.8 per match
expected value
41.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1452
· median 1452
· range 1452–1452
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1273
Q3 1433
1689
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 20.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.3 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Beast decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
