Aria's Cardshop MRC Regionals (ONLINE)
2024-09-21 · season Mercurial Heart · Standard
48 decks · 130 matches loaded. View: EV ranking · head-to-head matrix
- Slimes 20.8%
- Fire Aggro 12.5%
- Wind Allies 12.5%
- Fire Crux Hybrid 8.3%
- Fire Slimes 6.2%
Archetype Breakdown
Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.
| # | Archetype | Tier | Decks | Share | W-L-D | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | Tier 1 | 10 | 20-18-8 | 52.2% | 51.1% | 51.5% | 51.1% | 1354 | — | ||
| 2 |
Fire Aggro
|
Tier 1 | 6 | 14-13-3 | 51.7% | 52.0% | 48.1% | 49.9% | 1274 | ↓ low | ||
| 3 |
Wind Allies
|
Tier 1 | 6 | 13-13-3 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 50.6% | 48.1% | 1422 | ↑ top | ||
| 4 |
Fire Crux Hybrid
|
Tier 2 | 4 | 5-9-1 | 36.7% | 48.2% | 44.7% | 48.9% | 1323 | — | ||
| 5 |
Fire Slimes
|
Tier 1 | 3 | 10-5-3 | 63.9% | 54.4% | 52.9% | 51.4% | 1399 | ↑ top | ||
| 6 |
Water Ravishing Mill
|
Tier 2 | 3 | 8-7-1 | 53.1% | 48.2% | 49.7% | 49.1% | 1374 | — | ||
| 7 |
Wind Shadowstrike
|
Tier 1 | 3 | 8-7-3 | 52.8% | 49.8% | 50.0% | 49.3% | 1443 | ↑ top | ||
| 8 |
Fire Crux Lorraine
|
Tier 1 | 2 | 6-4-1 | 59.1% | 54.7% | 54.3% | 52.3% | 1243 | ↓ low | ||
| 9 |
Fire Crux Merlin
|
Tier 1 | 2 | 5-3-4 | 58.3% | 50.6% | 53.8% | 51.0% | 1444 | ↑ top | ||
| 10 |
Fire Erupting
|
Tier 2 | 2 | 5-7-0 | 41.7% | 51.5% | 49.6% | 51.2% | 1337 | — | ||
| 11 |
Fire Crux Mage
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 1-2-2 | 40.0% | 49.4% | 52.2% | 52.6% | 1230 | ↓ low | ||
| 12 |
Fire Diana
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 39.0% | 38.0% | 45.5% | 1107 | ↓ low | ||
| 13 |
Fire Luxem Assassin
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 58.1% | 57.5% | 54.2% | 1284 | ↓ low | ||
| 14 |
Fire Neos Tonoris
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 42.0% | 33.3% | 42.0% | 1426 | ↑ top | ||
| 15 |
Water Allies
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 49.5% | 48.9% | 49.7% | 1270 | ↓ low | ||
| 16 |
Wind Beast
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 45.1% | 41.1% | 47.2% | 1452 | ↑ top | ||
| 17 |
Wind Luxem Assassin
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 51.2% | 47.3% | 49.6% | 1361 | — | ||
Final Placements · 48 players
Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.
| Placement | Player | Record | Deck |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | baniRien | 4-0-2 | Slimes |
| 2 | Tobi | 4-0-2 | Fire Crux Merlin |
| 3 | Necrotic | 4-1-1 | Fire Crux Lorraine |
| 4 | sungorio | 4-1-1 | Fire Slimes |
| 5 | Imperiallordfox | 4-1-1 | Fire Aggro |
| 6 | Mono | 4-1-1 | Fire Luxem Assassin |
| 7 | Yoroi | 4-1-1 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 8 | Zetdivx | 4-1-1 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 9 | WhatDoYouMinh | 4-1-1 | Fire Slimes |
| 10 | Tress | 4-2-0 | Slimes |
| 11 | Limelight | 4-2-0 | Fire Aggro |
| 12 | Tien | 4-2-0 | Wind Allies |
| 13 | Hanma | 3-1-2 | Slimes |
| 14 | DJNoVa | 3-1-2 | Slimes |
| 15 | Rat | 3-2-1 | Fire Aggro |
| 16 | MitchSnipes | 3-2-1 | Wind Allies |
| 17 | bobolas | 3-3-0 | Slimes |
| 18 | Krellz | 3-3-0 | Fire Erupting |
| 19 | Pavonee | 3-3-0 | Wind Allies |
| 20 | JaceTheGray | 3-3-0 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 21 | APotato | 3-3-0 | Slimes |
| 22 | Skysama | 3-2-0 | Wind Allies |
| 23 | TheOnlyDang | 3-3-0 | Water Allies |
| 24 | Asuna | 3-3-0 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 25 | Steve2012 | 2-3-0 | Fire Crux Lorraine |
| 26 | Yushy | 2-2-2 | Wind Luxem Assassin |
| 27 | Duvvii | 2-3-1 | Fire Slimes |
| 28 | Kize | 1-3-0 | Water Ravishing Mill |
| 29 | LennyVinton | 2-3-0 | Fire Crux Hybrid |
| 30 | Perfy | 2-2-0 | Fire Crux Hybrid |
| 31 | Yinko | 2-4-0 | Fire Erupting |
| 32 | Stardust27 | 2-4-0 | Slimes |
| 33 | MrMuffins | 2-3-0 | Fire Aggro |
| 34 | AlexanderP | 1-2-2 | Wind Allies |
| 35 | Malxy | 1-2-2 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 36 | Rey | 1-3-2 | Wind Shadowstrike |
| 37 | Edward3 | 1-3-2 | Fire Crux Merlin |
| 38 | Knightly | 1-2-1 | Fire Crux Hybrid |
| 39 | Minam | 1-4-1 | Slimes |
| 40 | Zangoon | 1-3-1 | Slimes |
| 41 | iPAlucard | 1-2-0 | Slimes |
| 42 | Kimor | 1-4-0 | Wind Beast |
| 43 | layandros | 1-3-0 | Fire Aggro |
| 44 | Marv | 0-5-0 | Fire Diana |
| 45 | Vulpixie | 0-2-1 | Fire Aggro |
| 46 | Jimmyle | 0-2-0 | Fire Neos Tonoris |
| 47 | Abraham | 0-2-0 | Fire Crux Hybrid |
| 48 | Wondy | 0-3-0 | Wind Allies |