← Oddwillow's STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Oddwillow's STORE CHAMPIONSHIP.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 83.3% | 60.5% | 58.3% | 54.7% | 1351 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 67.5% | 56.0% | 59.0% | 1247 | — |
| 3 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.9% | 54.7% | 51.8% | 1340 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 37.5% | 47.3% | 47.5% | 48.9% | 1192 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 37.5% | 44.7% | 46.0% | 46.9% | 1183 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 39.5% | 45.6% | 45.9% | 1279 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.3% | 45.0% | 46.8% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.2% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 1090 | ↓ low |