← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 8/8/2024
Fire AggroTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 8/8/2024
decks
3
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-5-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1274
· median 1295
· range 1179–1349
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1210
Q3 1366
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.5% | -1.5 |
| Slimes | 14.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.6% | -1.3 |
| Wind Allies | 14.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Zander | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
