← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 8/8/2024
Water NeosTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 8/8/2024
decks
2
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1397
· median 1397
· range 1367–1426
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1210
Q3 1366
1652
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 14.8% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 48.5% | -1.0 |
| Wind Allies | 14.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
