Wind AlliesTier 2
at Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 23.5% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 28.8% | -13.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 11.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Slimes | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Water Allies | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.8% | -15.5 |
| Fire Erupting | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +2.5 |
| Wind Overlord | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.2 |
| Wind Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 62 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 62 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eye of Argus | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mercurial Heart | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ceremonial Stormblade | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reprogram | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Overlord Mk III | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Cutter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enchaining Gale | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Warrior's Longsword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Synthetic Core | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cell Vanguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mark of Fervor | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |