← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 8/29
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 8/29
decks
2
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1357
· median 1357
· range 1197–1517
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1207
Q3 1431
1648
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.0% | -0.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
