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Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 8/29
decks
5
(11.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
5-7-2
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1391
· median 1432
· range 1138–1648
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1207
Q3 1431
1648
60% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.8% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 48.2% | -1.2 |
| Wind Allies | 11.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Wind Neos | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Water Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
