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Wind AlliesTier 2

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 8/29

decks
5 (11.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15 6-8-1
overall winrate
43.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0% avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
45.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1306 · median 1328 · range 1151–1517 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055 Q1 1207 Q3 1431 1648
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 40% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 23.8% 6 1-4-1 25.0% 35.0% 48.2% -1.0
Fire Crux Mage 11.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.1% 0
Fire Arcane 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Ravishing Mill 4.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.3
Wind Neos 4.8% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 4.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 48.8% -1.2
Fire Aggro 2.4% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.8% -1.8
Fire Crux Merlin 2.4% 0
Fire Erupting 2.4% 0
Fire Lorraine 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.2% +2.0
Fire Neos 2.4% 0
Fire Zander 2.4% 0
Water Allies 2.4% 0
Water Astra Cleric 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.7
Water Luxem Assassin 2.4% 0
Water Neos 2.4% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.4% 0
Wind Crux Mage 2.4% 0
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 1 0
Assassin's Mantle -1.00 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Curved Dagger -1.00 0 1 0
Zander, Deft Executor +1.00 1 0 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Sword of Seeking +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Scavenging Raccoon +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Sadi, Blood Harvester +1.00 1 0 0
Sirocco Operative -1.00 0 1 0
Blackmarket Broker +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Scout the Land -1.00 0 1 0
Attune with the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Tempest Downfall -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Spy -1.00 0 1 0
Deflecting Edge -1.00 0 1 0
Windmill Engineer -1.00 0 1 0
Assassin's Ripper +1.00 1 0 0
Second Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Reprogram -1.00 0 1 0
Cloaked Executioner -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Corhazi Outlook -1.00 0 1 0
Skirting Step -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/9875/archetypes/Wind Allies