Water Luxem AssassinTier 3
Filters
Current season
Every figure below — tier, winrate, EV, the matchup table, the
consensus decklist — is computed from the current
season (115 events).
See all-time pooled data.
decks
59
(1.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
300
122-139-39
overall winrate
47.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Consensus decklist
The cards across all 59 public Water Luxem Assassin decklists. The bar and % show how many of those decks run the card. The material deck stays in deck order; main deck and sideboard rank by that %. ×N (main / sideboard) is average copies. Cards played in under 10% of decks are hidden. Click a card for full art.
Material Deck · 19 cards seen across these decklists
Spirit of Serene Water
Spirit of Water
Zander, Prepared Scout
Zander, Deft Executor
Zander, Blinding Steel
Lost Providence
Backup Charger
Chalice of Blood
Mercenary's Blade
Nefarious Timepiece
Nullifying Lantern
Portentous Tanggu
Prismspire Scepter
Safeguard Amulet
Tariff Ring
Ducal Seal
Insignia of the Corhazi
Luxera's Map
Photic Blade
Main Deck · 32 cards seen across these decklists
Dungeon Guide
Gleaming Cut
Lightweaver's Assault
Luxem Sight
Incapacitate
Exploit Vulnerability
Fracturize
Uncover the Plot
Shroud in Mist
Angelic Channeling
Striking Illuminance
Excalibur, Cleansing Light
Fractal of Waves
Gentle Respite
Topsy Decree
Juggle Knives
Turbo Charge
Engulf
Return to the Archive
Resolute Stand
Pearled Prayer
Elyan, Lustre Loyalty
Thieving Cut
Lightveil Agent
Scry the Skies
Wisdom's Reprise
Sadi, Blood Harvester
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Rictus Tiding
Optical Control
Song of Frost
Regal Inquisition
Sideboard · 19 cards seen across these decklists
Regal Inquisition
Song of Frost
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Shademist Priestess
Orb of Sealing
Void's Cloak
Topsy Decree
Engulf
Excalibur, Cleansing Light
Nullifying Lantern
Expel the Departed
Crystallized Destiny
Resolute Stand
Tabula of Salvage
Heavenly Guide
Safeguard Amulet
Pearled Prayer
Ducal Seal
Chime of Endless Dreams
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, summed across all events. Mirrors excluded. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 6.9% | 28 | 11-13-4 | 46.4% | 46.9% | 46.5% | -1.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 25 | 9-9-7 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +0.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.0% | 13 | 3-8-2 | 30.8% | 35.3% | 35.5% | -6.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.3% | 21 | 12-8-1 | 59.5% | 58.0% | 55.3% | +2.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 9 | 2-5-2 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 39.6% | -4.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.6% | 14 | 8-5-1 | 60.7% | 58.3% | 50.5% | +0.2 |
| Water Fractal | 4.6% | 9 | 3-5-1 | 38.9% | 42.3% | 49.4% | -0.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.0% | 13 | 6-7-0 | 46.2% | 47.1% | 51.6% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 9 | 3-3-3 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.5% | 7 | 1-6-0 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 32.8% | -8.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 10 | 3-7-0 | 30.0% | 35.7% | 38.5% | -5.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 11 | 3-6-2 | 36.4% | 40.0% | 34.4% | -6.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.4% | -16.9 |
| Water Exia | 2.4% | 11 | 5-6-0 | 45.5% | 46.7% | 45.2% | -2.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.3% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 60.4% | +6.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.2% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 58.9% | +5.1 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.1% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 36.4% | -7.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -7.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 36.5% | -10.1 |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 29.2% | -13.3 |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 46.0% | -2.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 50.6% | +0.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 35.0% | -11.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.3% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 34.5% | -11.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.0% | 4 | 0-2-2 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 41.7% | -5.3 |
| Slimes | 1.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 46.4% | -2.3 |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 30.0% | -10.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +1.9 |
| Water Allies | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 23.0% | -25.9 |
| Luxem Mordred | 0.8% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 56.5% | +4.8 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Chess | 0.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 16.8% | -24.8 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 68.7% | +13.9 |
| Wind Allies | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.1 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Neos | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Water Chess | 0.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 0.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Suited | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.3% | +3.2 |
| Wind Exia | 0.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Fire Alice | 0.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 0.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Fire Crescendo | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Water Slimes | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.1 |
| Wind Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -20.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fractal | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.1 |
| Fire Arcane Rai | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.7 |
| Water Byakko | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Mordred | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Razorgale | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Silvie | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suited | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Shadowstrike | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Fractal | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.3 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Cleric | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Mirror Analysis
Across 1 event that had at least one mirror, 1 mirror match are aggregated below. Named-spirit cards (e.g. "Sabrina, Spirit of Water") are collapsed to their basic equivalent so they don't read as flex-slot differences. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song of Frost | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angel Attendant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Engulf | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rictus Tiding | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Pearled Prayer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Water | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |