← Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC 9/28/2024
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC 9/28/2024
decks
7
(6.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
38
18-14-6
overall winrate
55.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.3%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
53.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1359
· median 1329
· range 1198–1527
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1272
Q3 1427
1736
29% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
14% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.6% | 9 | 4-3-2 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 53.6% | +1.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.8% | 10 | 6-3-1 | 65.0% | 60.7% | 54.5% | +2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 53.8% | +2.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.3% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 56.9% | +4.0 |
| Wind Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.2% | -1.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.5 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
