← Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC 9/28/2024
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC 9/28/2024
decks
8
(7.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
36
17-16-3
overall winrate
51.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
52.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1313
· median 1344
· range 1096–1495
(8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1272
Q3 1427
1736
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
38% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.6% | 10 | 5-5-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.4% | +6.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +0.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.4% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 43.1% | -4.0 |
| Wind Allies | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.4 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.2% | -2.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.7% | +3.5 |
| Fire Erupting | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.2% | +1.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
