Grand Archive Regional Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	5	21.7%	11-9-2	54.5%	56.4%	51.8%	53.2%	1245	—
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	4	17.4%	8-5-3	59.4%	55.1%	53.3%	51.9%	1301	↑ top
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	4	17.4%	6-10-0	37.5%	39.7%	45.9%	45.0%	1186	↓ low
4		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	8.7%	3-5-0	37.5%	43.5%	44.3%	45.5%	1236	—
5		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	8.7%	4-3-1	56.2%	55.5%	52.9%	53.5%	1195	↓ low
6		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	8.7%	1-5-3	27.8%	37.5%	44.7%	45.9%	1134	↓ low
7		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	4.3%	3-3-0	50.0%	41.0%	54.7%	50.7%	1200	↓ low
8		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	1	4.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	66.6%	54.7%	54.2%	1427	↑ top
9		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	4.3%	1-3-1	30.0%	40.1%	40.9%	42.0%	1281	↑ top
10		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	1	4.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	66.6%	54.7%	54.2%	1427	↑ top
11		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	4.3%	3-3-0	50.0%	49.3%	50.7%	50.4%	1216	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 5 decks · 21.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 17.4%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 17.4%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 8.7%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 8.7%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 8.7%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 4.3%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 4.3%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 4.3%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 4.3%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 4.3%