← Grand Archive Regional Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Grand Archive Regional Championship
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 21.7% | 7 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 17.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 8.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -15.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.4% | +14.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focused Flames | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Uncover the Plot | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Planted Explosive | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Orb of Choking Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scry the Skies | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fractal of Insight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Caliburn of Silencing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Deft Executor | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Always Watching | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Regret | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |